Myopia, Time-Inconsistency and Financial Markets

نویسندگان

  • Nikolaos Kokonas
  • Andres Carvajal
چکیده

What is the characterization of asset prices and investor’s behavior under time-inconsistent preferences? This paper investigates the characterization of financial market equilibrium when time-inconsistency takes the form of myopia or hyperbolic discounting (HD). We consider an infinite horizon economy under certainty with two heterogeneous CRRA individuals, one good and one long-lived asset. The question of survival in the market arises when individuals are HD maximizers or myopic with wrong expectations about equilibrium asset prices. We provide sufficient conditions such that more myopic individuals dominate over less myopic ones and also sophisticated HD maximizers with intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES) equal to one, log-utilities, dominate over HD maximizers with IES higher than one. Thus, individuals that vanish in the long-run will not have an impact on asset prices. On the other hand, asset prices are characterized by extreme dynamics if the economy is populated by myopic individuals only, who have perfect foresight about equilibrium asset prices. We show that even though the dividends of the long-lived asset are constant over time, there exist asset price dynamics that resemble an ever-expanding asset price bubble. Lastly, we introduce debt in the initial set-up by allowing individuals to hold liquid and illiquid assets. This allows for the possibility of bankruptcies.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Myopia, Time-Inconsistency, Survival and Bankruptcy in Financial Markets

What is the characterization of asset prices and investor’s behavior under myopic or time-inconsistent preferences? This paper investigates the characterization of financial market equilibrium when individuals are myopic or time-inconsistent. We consider an infinite horizon economy under certainty with two heterogeneous CRRA individuals, one good and one long-lived asset. The question of surviv...

متن کامل

A framework for Measuring the Dynamics Connections of Volatility in Oil and Financial Markets

Investigating connections between financial and oil markets is important for investors and policy makers. This knowledge allows for appropriate decision making. In this paper, we measure the dynamic connections of selected stock markets in the Middle East with oil markets, gold, dollar index and euro-dollar and pound-dollar exchange rates during the period February 2007 to August 2019 in networ...

متن کامل

Markets and myopia beyond finance: Emissions trading and the promise of market-based environmental governance

Gordon Clark is surely right when he declares that ‘people are often unable to conceptualize immediate circumstances against market forces that operate beyond the boundaries of current experience and at levels or scales that appear abstract rather than material to the interests of those involved’. In this commentary, I claim that the description of the interactions between behavioral predisposi...

متن کامل

Machine learning algorithms for time series in financial markets

This research is related to the usefulness of different machine learning methods in forecasting time series on financial markets. The main issue in this field is that economic managers and scientific society are still longing for more accurate forecasting algorithms. Fulfilling this request leads to an increase in forecasting quality and, therefore, more profitability and efficiency. In this pa...

متن کامل

Complete markets do not allow free cash flow streams

In this short note we prove a conjecture posed in Cui et al. (2012): Dynamic mean-variance problems in arbitrage-free, complete financial markets do not allow free cash flows. Moreover, we show by investigating a benchmark problem that this effect is due to the performance criterion and not due to the time inconsistency of the strategy.

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012